High confidence that most/all demographic disparities are down to genes. The belief that LessWrong being dominated by white male technophiles is more indicative of the superior rationality of white male technophiles than any shortcomings of the LW community or society-at-large.
I am not sure how much these opinions are that extreme, and how much it’s just a reflection of how political debates push people into “all or nothing” positions. Like, if you admit that genes have any influence on population, you are automatically misinterpreted to believe that every aspect of a population is caused by genes. Because, you know, there are just two camps, “genes, boo” camp and “genes, yay” camp, and you have already proved you don’t belong into the former camp, therefore...
At least this is how I often feel in similar debates. Like there is no “genes affect 50% of something” position. There is a “genes don’t influence anything significant, ever” camp where all the good guys are; and there is the “other” camp, with everyone else, including me and Hitler. If we divide a continuous scale into “zero” and “nonzero” subsets, then of course 0.1 and 0.5 and 1 and infinity all get into the same subset. But that’s looking through the mindkilling glasses. I could start explaining how believing that genes can have some influence on thinking and behavior is not the same as attributing everything to the genes, and is completely nothing like advocating a genocide… but I already see all the good guys looking at me and thinking: “Nice try, but you are not going to fool us. We know what you really believe.”—Well, the idea is that I actually don’t.
I even don’t think that having a white male majority at this moment is some failure of a LW community. I mean—just try imagine a parallel universe where someone else started LW. How likely it is that in the parallel universe it is perfectly balanced by ethnicity and gender? What exactly does your model of reality make you predict?
Imagine that you are a visitor from an alien species are you are told the following facts: 1) Most humans are irrational, and rationality is associated with various negative things, like Straw Vulcans. Saying good things about rationality will get you laughed at. But paradoxically, telling others that they are not very rational, is offensive. So it’s best to avoid this topic, which most people do. 2) Asch’s conformity test suggests that women are a bit more likely than men to conform. 3) Asians have a culture that discourages standing out of the crowd. 4) Blacks usually live in the most poor countries, and those living in the developed countries were historically oppressed. -- Now that you know these facts, you are told that there is a new group of people who tries to promote rationality and science and technology. As the alien visitor, based on the given data, please tell me, which gender and which race would you bet would be most represented in this group?
If the LW remains forever a group of mostly white males, then yes, that would mean that we have failed. Specifically that we have failed to spread rationality, to increase the sanity waterline. But the fact that LW started with such demographics is completely unsurprising to me. So, is the proportion of other groups increasing on LW? Looking at the surveys for two years, it seems to me that yes. Then the only question is whether it is increasing fast enough? Well, fast enough compared with what? Sure, we could do more about it. Surely, we are not automatically strategic, we have missed some opportunities. Let’s try harder. But there is no point in obsessing over the fact that LW started as a predominantly white male group, or that we didn’t fix the disparities in the society within a few years.
I even don’t think that having a white male majority at this moment is some failure of a LW community
There are other options. I think there exist possible worlds where LW is less-offputting to people outside of the uppermiddleclasstechnophilewhitemaleosphere with demographics that are closer to, but probably not identical to, the broader population. Like you said, there’s no reason for us to split the world into all-or-nothing sides: It’s entirely possible (and I think likely) that statistical differences do exist between demographics and that we have a suboptimal community/broader-culture which skews those differences more than would otherwise be the case.
Edit: I had only skimmed your comment when writing this reply; On a reread, I think we mostly agree.
I am not sure how much these opinions are that extreme, and how much it’s just a reflection of how political debates push people into “all or nothing” positions. Like, if you admit that genes have any influence on population, you are automatically misinterpreted to believe that every aspect of a population is caused by genes. Because, you know, there are just two camps, “genes, boo” camp and “genes, yay” camp, and you have already proved you don’t belong into the former camp, therefore...
At least this is how I often feel in similar debates. Like there is no “genes affect 50% of something” position. There is a “genes don’t influence anything significant, ever” camp where all the good guys are; and there is the “other” camp, with everyone else, including me and Hitler. If we divide a continuous scale into “zero” and “nonzero” subsets, then of course 0.1 and 0.5 and 1 and infinity all get into the same subset. But that’s looking through the mindkilling glasses. I could start explaining how believing that genes can have some influence on thinking and behavior is not the same as attributing everything to the genes, and is completely nothing like advocating a genocide… but I already see all the good guys looking at me and thinking: “Nice try, but you are not going to fool us. We know what you really believe.”—Well, the idea is that I actually don’t.
I even don’t think that having a white male majority at this moment is some failure of a LW community. I mean—just try imagine a parallel universe where someone else started LW. How likely it is that in the parallel universe it is perfectly balanced by ethnicity and gender? What exactly does your model of reality make you predict?
Imagine that you are a visitor from an alien species are you are told the following facts: 1) Most humans are irrational, and rationality is associated with various negative things, like Straw Vulcans. Saying good things about rationality will get you laughed at. But paradoxically, telling others that they are not very rational, is offensive. So it’s best to avoid this topic, which most people do. 2) Asch’s conformity test suggests that women are a bit more likely than men to conform. 3) Asians have a culture that discourages standing out of the crowd. 4) Blacks usually live in the most poor countries, and those living in the developed countries were historically oppressed. -- Now that you know these facts, you are told that there is a new group of people who tries to promote rationality and science and technology. As the alien visitor, based on the given data, please tell me, which gender and which race would you bet would be most represented in this group?
If the LW remains forever a group of mostly white males, then yes, that would mean that we have failed. Specifically that we have failed to spread rationality, to increase the sanity waterline. But the fact that LW started with such demographics is completely unsurprising to me. So, is the proportion of other groups increasing on LW? Looking at the surveys for two years, it seems to me that yes. Then the only question is whether it is increasing fast enough? Well, fast enough compared with what? Sure, we could do more about it. Surely, we are not automatically strategic, we have missed some opportunities. Let’s try harder. But there is no point in obsessing over the fact that LW started as a predominantly white male group, or that we didn’t fix the disparities in the society within a few years.
There are other options. I think there exist possible worlds where LW is less-offputting to people outside of the uppermiddleclasstechnophilewhitemaleosphere with demographics that are closer to, but probably not identical to, the broader population. Like you said, there’s no reason for us to split the world into all-or-nothing sides: It’s entirely possible (and I think likely) that statistical differences do exist between demographics and that we have a suboptimal community/broader-culture which skews those differences more than would otherwise be the case.
Edit: I had only skimmed your comment when writing this reply; On a reread, I think we mostly agree.