Survey taken while it was in stealth mode. Good to know it’s officially out now!
A funny thing about the calibration question. Last year I gave myself (IIRC) a 35% probability of having the right answer within the interval asked, and got the answer right. This year I missed by two decades, at 55% confidence. Surprisingly that’s actually progress—the Brier score tells me this year’s is a better result than last year’s.
Survey taken while it was in stealth mode. Good to know it’s officially out now!
A funny thing about the calibration question. Last year I gave myself (IIRC) a 35% probability of having the right answer within the interval asked, and got the answer right. This year I missed by two decades, at 55% confidence. Surprisingly that’s actually progress—the Brier score tells me this year’s is a better result than last year’s.