I have not read Thinking Fast and Slow, but the answer to this follows directly from binomial probability distributions, which (at least in NY) were part of the 11th grade math curriculum as of 2004. That doesn’t mean most people will notice the connection, but technically they’ve been exposed to all the necessary information to solve it.
I have not read Thinking Fast and Slow, but the answer to this follows directly from binomial probability distributions, which (at least in NY) were part of the 11th grade math curriculum as of 2004. That doesn’t mean most people will notice the connection, but technically they’ve been exposed to all the necessary information to solve it.