Since you’re proposing a policy here, I feel like someone needs to ask: how would you measure and test these benefits?
They seem plausible to me, but I could tell just-so stories where this goes wrong. Like:
Some amount of leaving-things-unsaid turns out to be necessary for humans to cooperate.
Policy is just too complicated. Prediction markets rarely have any idea whether a bill will succeed at its stated impact measures.
A non partisan group of scientists isn’t enough for us to break Goodhart’s law. We can improve the things we measure, but the things we can’t or don’t measure turn to shit.
However I think my thoughts here are firmly in the idea generation camp, rather than the concrete proposal camp. If this ever does make it to policy, I’d very much hope it will stick to it’s own standard.
Since you’re proposing a policy here, I feel like someone needs to ask: how would you measure and test these benefits?
They seem plausible to me, but I could tell just-so stories where this goes wrong. Like:
Some amount of leaving-things-unsaid turns out to be necessary for humans to cooperate.
Policy is just too complicated. Prediction markets rarely have any idea whether a bill will succeed at its stated impact measures.
A non partisan group of scientists isn’t enough for us to break Goodhart’s law. We can improve the things we measure, but the things we can’t or don’t measure turn to shit.
That’s a fair point.
However I think my thoughts here are firmly in the idea generation camp, rather than the concrete proposal camp. If this ever does make it to policy, I’d very much hope it will stick to it’s own standard.