I think it is almost certain you would need to do this repeatedly
You only need one person with long lasting COVID infection to potentially restart the pandemic.
Animals can have COVID so all susceptible animals would need to be likewise isolated (or culled).
You would need to do this in every country that you trade with and every country that they trade with (if we’re trying to prevent damage to the economy). The proposal is even harder to implement in some countries.
I guess the question would be how long respite would this give you before having to repeat.
Say we’re going back completely to normal after the firebreak. Doubling times with the English strain were a little over a weak with the fairly strict December measures. With no measures say it speeds up to doubling every 4 days. This might be optimistic given how fast the original strain spread early in the pandemic.
If we have 10 cases that we’ve failed to eradicate then we get to 10,000,000 cases in about 11 weeks. So we have to repeat this 4 times a year?
I think it is almost certain you would need to do this repeatedly
You only need one person with long lasting COVID infection to potentially restart the pandemic.
Animals can have COVID so all susceptible animals would need to be likewise isolated (or culled).
You would need to do this in every country that you trade with and every country that they trade with (if we’re trying to prevent damage to the economy). The proposal is even harder to implement in some countries.
I guess the question would be how long respite would this give you before having to repeat.
Say we’re going back completely to normal after the firebreak. Doubling times with the English strain were a little over a weak with the fairly strict December measures. With no measures say it speeds up to doubling every 4 days. This might be optimistic given how fast the original strain spread early in the pandemic.
If we have 10 cases that we’ve failed to eradicate then we get to 10,000,000 cases in about 11 weeks. So we have to repeat this 4 times a year?