I definitely made a mistake in quickly checking that number shared by colleague.
The 2023 AI Impacts survey shows a mean risk of 14.4% for the question “What probability do you put on future AI advances causing human extinction or similarly permanent and severe disempowerment of the human species within the next 100 years?”.
I definitely made a mistake in quickly checking that number shared by colleague.
The 2023 AI Impacts survey shows a mean risk of 14.4% for the question “What probability do you put on future AI advances causing human extinction or similarly permanent and severe disempowerment of the human species within the next 100 years?”.
Whereas the other smaller sample survey gives a median estimate of 30%
I already thought using those two figures as a range did not make sense, but putting a mean and a median in the same range is even more wrong.
Thanks for pointing this out! Let me add a correcting comment above.