“Rationalists should win,” mathematical tautology. Perfectly rational bayesian expected utility maximizers do just that. As humans, it is a good heuristic to avoid privileged rituals of thought.
There can be value in tautology for the purpose of drawing attention to an important point: “oh, I’m not winning, I am not a rationalist, then.”
Exactly. When you are currently not holding one million dollars from one-boxing, then you are being irrational (assuming monotonically increasing utility from money), and should self-modify accordingly.
There can be value in tautology for the purpose of drawing attention to an important point: “oh, I’m not winning, I am not a rationalist, then.”
Exactly. When you are currently not holding one million dollars from one-boxing, then you are being irrational (assuming monotonically increasing utility from money), and should self-modify accordingly.