I’m sorry I was unclear. I didn’t mean to suggest that this was an alternative explanation for this event. In fact, as you point out, the hypothetical I described contradicts SA’s testimony in an important way (the proportion of the comments downvoted).
The reason I brought up the hypothetical was to promote discussion about scenarios that are more difficult to evaluate than what actually appears to have occurred.
The reason the subject came up at all is because this instance was particularly blatant. Otherwise, we don’t generally have enough information to evaluate other scenarios reliably—this is why Eliezer wants a way to monitor voting abuse.
Even so I’m willing to grant that it could be something innocuous (and will apologize if that is the case), but the evidence so far leans toward abuse.
If you want to promote discussion about the issue, a top-level post is probably in order, as you yourself previously noted; feel free to make one.
Don’t use “least convenient possible world” to mean “a different hypothesis to explain what you’re seeing”. We don’t want the usage to get confused.
EDIT: Also, it’s unlikely for this effect to result in every one of SA’s last 80 comments being downvoted once.
I’m sorry I was unclear. I didn’t mean to suggest that this was an alternative explanation for this event. In fact, as you point out, the hypothetical I described contradicts SA’s testimony in an important way (the proportion of the comments downvoted).
The reason I brought up the hypothetical was to promote discussion about scenarios that are more difficult to evaluate than what actually appears to have occurred.
The reason the subject came up at all is because this instance was particularly blatant. Otherwise, we don’t generally have enough information to evaluate other scenarios reliably—this is why Eliezer wants a way to monitor voting abuse.
Even so I’m willing to grant that it could be something innocuous (and will apologize if that is the case), but the evidence so far leans toward abuse.
If you want to promote discussion about the issue, a top-level post is probably in order, as you yourself previously noted; feel free to make one.