Seems right, IDK. But still, that’s a different kind of uncertainty than uncertainty about, like, the shape of algorithm-space.
Well Eliezer did explicitly state that “it was, predictably, a directional overestimate”. His concern was that it is a useless estimate, not that it didn’t roughly bound the amount of computation required.
Seems right, IDK. But still, that’s a different kind of uncertainty than uncertainty about, like, the shape of algorithm-space.
Well Eliezer did explicitly state that “it was, predictably, a directional overestimate”. His concern was that it is a useless estimate, not that it didn’t roughly bound the amount of computation required.