I’m really happy to see more people explore in this direction. I’m curious if you have any thoughts on global coordination with regard to climate change. What is preventing effective coordination on that issue (in terms of root causes / social dynamics), and do you think coordination on future x-risks will be easier or harder than on climate change?
I haven’t yet formed clear hypotheses around what is preventing effective coordination around climate change. My current approach is to examine what led to the fairly successful nuclear arms control treaties and what is causing them to fail now. I have found Thomas Schelling’s work quite useful for thinking about international cooperation, but I’m missing a lot of models around internal state politics that enables or prevents those states from being able to negotiate effectively.
One area I’m quite interested in, in regards to climate coordination / conflict, is geoengineering. Several high-impact geoengineering methods seem economically feasible to do unilaterally at scale. This seems like a complicated mixed-motive conflict. I’m not clear where the Schelling Points will be, but I am going to try to figure this out. I’d love to see other people do their own analyses here!
I’m really happy to see more people explore in this direction. I’m curious if you have any thoughts on global coordination with regard to climate change. What is preventing effective coordination on that issue (in terms of root causes / social dynamics), and do you think coordination on future x-risks will be easier or harder than on climate change?
I haven’t yet formed clear hypotheses around what is preventing effective coordination around climate change. My current approach is to examine what led to the fairly successful nuclear arms control treaties and what is causing them to fail now. I have found Thomas Schelling’s work quite useful for thinking about international cooperation, but I’m missing a lot of models around internal state politics that enables or prevents those states from being able to negotiate effectively.
One area I’m quite interested in, in regards to climate coordination / conflict, is geoengineering. Several high-impact geoengineering methods seem economically feasible to do unilaterally at scale. This seems like a complicated mixed-motive conflict. I’m not clear where the Schelling Points will be, but I am going to try to figure this out. I’d love to see other people do their own analyses here!