The approach I often take here is to ask the person how they would persuade an amateur chess player who believes they can beat Magnus Carlsen because they’ve discovered a particularly good opening with which they’ve won every amateur game they’ve tried it in so far.
Them: Magnus Carlsen will still beat you, with near certainty
Me: But what is he going to do? This opening is unbeatable!
Them: He’s much better at chess than you, he’ll figure something out
Me: But what though? I can’t think of any strategy that beats this
Them: I don’t know, maybe he’ll find a way to do <some chess thing X>
Me: If he does X I can just counter it by doing Y!
Them: Ok if X is that easily countered with Y then he won’t do X, he’ll do some Z that’s like X but that you don’t know how to counter
Me: Oh, but you conveniently can’t tell me what this Z is
Them: Right! I’m not as good at chess as he is and neither are you. I can be confident he’ll beat you even without knowing your opener. You cannot expect to win against someone who outclasses you.
The approach I often take here is to ask the person how they would persuade an amateur chess player who believes they can beat Magnus Carlsen because they’ve discovered a particularly good opening with which they’ve won every amateur game they’ve tried it in so far.
Them: Magnus Carlsen will still beat you, with near certainty
Me: But what is he going to do? This opening is unbeatable!
Them: He’s much better at chess than you, he’ll figure something out
Me: But what though? I can’t think of any strategy that beats this
Them: I don’t know, maybe he’ll find a way to do <some chess thing X>
Me: If he does X I can just counter it by doing Y!
Them: Ok if X is that easily countered with Y then he won’t do X, he’ll do some Z that’s like X but that you don’t know how to counter
Me: Oh, but you conveniently can’t tell me what this Z is
Them: Right! I’m not as good at chess as he is and neither are you. I can be confident he’ll beat you even without knowing your opener. You cannot expect to win against someone who outclasses you.
Plot twist: Humanity with near total control of the planet is Magnus Carlson, obviously.