In fact, were it the case, it would have happened somewhere in our past light cone already, with rather visible consequences, something I refer to as a Fermi AGI paradox.
There’s work [1, 2] suggesting that there’s actually a reasonable chance of us being the first in the universe, in which case there’s no paradox.
Yes, if we are the first in the universe, then there is no paradox. But the AGI Fermi paradox is stricter than the usual Fermi paradox, where other “civilizations” may still not be in a cosmic expansion phase, not in the grabby aliens phase. The premise of an AGI is that it would “foom” to take over the galaxy as fast as it can. So, either a universe-altering AGI is not a thing, or it is not inevitable once a civilization can create artificial evolution, or mybe something else is going on.
Alien civilizations already existing in numbers but not having left their original planets isn’t a solution to the Fermi paradox, because if the civilizations were numerous some of them would have left their original planets. So removing it from the solution-space doesn’t add any notable constraints. But the grabby aliens model does solve the Fermi paradox.
There’s work [1, 2] suggesting that there’s actually a reasonable chance of us being the first in the universe, in which case there’s no paradox.
Yes, if we are the first in the universe, then there is no paradox. But the AGI Fermi paradox is stricter than the usual Fermi paradox, where other “civilizations” may still not be in a cosmic expansion phase, not in the grabby aliens phase. The premise of an AGI is that it would “foom” to take over the galaxy as fast as it can. So, either a universe-altering AGI is not a thing, or it is not inevitable once a civilization can create artificial evolution, or mybe something else is going on.
Alien civilizations already existing in numbers but not having left their original planets isn’t a solution to the Fermi paradox, because if the civilizations were numerous some of them would have left their original planets. So removing it from the solution-space doesn’t add any notable constraints. But the grabby aliens model does solve the Fermi paradox.