I don’t nearly agree with either of those, and FOOM basically requires physics violations like violating Landauer’s Principle and needing arbitrarily small processors. I’m being frank because I suspect that a lot of a doom position requires hard takeoff, and on physics and history of what happens as AI improves, only the first improvement is a discontinuity, the rest start being far more smooth and slow. So that’s a big crux I have here.
I don’t nearly agree with either of those, and FOOM basically requires physics violations like violating Landauer’s Principle and needing arbitrarily small processors. I’m being frank because I suspect that a lot of a doom position requires hard takeoff, and on physics and history of what happens as AI improves, only the first improvement is a discontinuity, the rest start being far more smooth and slow. So that’s a big crux I have here.