Progress is accelerating in a sense—due to synergy between developments making progress easier.
...when progress is at its fastest, things might well get pretty interesting. Much in the way of “existential” risk seems pretty unlikely to me—but with speculative far-future events, it is hard to be certain.
What does look as though it will go up against the wall are unmodified human beings—and other multicellular DNA-based lifeforms. There is no way these can compete against engineering and intelligent design—and they look like an unsuitable foundation for building directly on top of.
Some will paint that as an apocalypse—though to me it looks like a sensible, obvious and practically inevitable move. The most reasonable hope for the continued existence of biological humans is in future equivalents of museums and historical simulations—IMO.
We have had quite a bit of self-improvement so far—according to my own:
http://www.alife.co.uk/essays/the_intelligence_explosion_is_happening_now/
Progress is accelerating in a sense—due to synergy between developments making progress easier.
...when progress is at its fastest, things might well get pretty interesting. Much in the way of “existential” risk seems pretty unlikely to me—but with speculative far-future events, it is hard to be certain.
What does look as though it will go up against the wall are unmodified human beings—and other multicellular DNA-based lifeforms. There is no way these can compete against engineering and intelligent design—and they look like an unsuitable foundation for building directly on top of.
Some will paint that as an apocalypse—though to me it looks like a sensible, obvious and practically inevitable move. The most reasonable hope for the continued existence of biological humans is in future equivalents of museums and historical simulations—IMO.