Many experts and groups have tried to predict AI. Unfortunately, experts often perform little better than chance
When it comes to making predictions, what exactly does “better than chance” mean? Assuming a prediction is in the form of a probability distribution, all we can say is that one probability distribution scored better than another.
Ooh I have more pedantry for you:
When it comes to making predictions, what exactly does “better than chance” mean? Assuming a prediction is in the form of a probability distribution, all we can say is that one probability distribution scored better than another.
Good catch, thanks.