Three spins of a roulette wheel should do it. (1/60)^3 is 1⁄216,000. (59/60)^3 > 0.95 - so the casino’s cut would be around 5%. You might have to visit multiple casinos, but the fees would not do much damage to the project. This all seems managable—so your assertion seems implausible.
agreed. typically roulette wheels pay 35 to 1 with either 37 or 38 spots but that doesn’t change the vailidity of your point. The only difficulty would be finding a place where you could place such a huge bet on a roulette wheel. I don’t think that there is a casino where you could place even a $1M bet on a single number.
I see no reason in principle that it should be unreasonably difficult to become a quantum billionaire, I just didn’t think that the specific plan Roko presented would work, though when he explained it more it did seem more plausible to me. And I think that you’ll have to give up a decent amount of expected value to do it. Maybe powerball should move to a quantum mechanism for picking numbers to attract more many worlds believers!
Three spins of a roulette wheel should do it. (1/60)^3 is 1⁄216,000. (59/60)^3 > 0.95 - so the casino’s cut would be around 5%. You might have to visit multiple casinos, but the fees would not do much damage to the project. This all seems managable—so your assertion seems implausible.
agreed. typically roulette wheels pay 35 to 1 with either 37 or 38 spots but that doesn’t change the vailidity of your point. The only difficulty would be finding a place where you could place such a huge bet on a roulette wheel. I don’t think that there is a casino where you could place even a $1M bet on a single number.
I see no reason in principle that it should be unreasonably difficult to become a quantum billionaire, I just didn’t think that the specific plan Roko presented would work, though when he explained it more it did seem more plausible to me. And I think that you’ll have to give up a decent amount of expected value to do it. Maybe powerball should move to a quantum mechanism for picking numbers to attract more many worlds believers!
Good idea. I wish I had thought of that! Casinos are the perfect place to cheaply and quickly make high-risk almost-fair bets. Tim, I love you <3