Sure. Just for fun/norm setting, I’ll bet $10 against your $10 that approval does not happen before March 15, assuming you accept the bet before Feb 1, and it wasn’t approved at the time you accepted.
That’s your 50% by March 1, with 2 weeks of leeway for you since a week has now passed without approval, and I don’t feel like doing complicated math.
Sure. Just for fun/norm setting, I’ll bet $10 against your $10 that approval does not happen before March 15, assuming you accept the bet before Feb 1, and it wasn’t approved at the time you accepted. That’s your 50% by March 1, with 2 weeks of leeway for you since a week has now passed without approval, and I don’t feel like doing complicated math.