At least some of the disagreement shrinks when you clarify “greatest risk” :
Is it a problem for rich first-worlders (dysgenics, maybe), poor first-worlders (immigration), poor third-worlders (global warming, pollution)?
Is it a likely but “mild” problem (dysgenics, sexual immorality, growing inequality), or an unlikely/uncertain but catastrophic problem (AI, grey goo) ?
There’s probably still a lot of actual disagreement about facts left (for example, how likely is AI, whether God punishes/rewards us), but I think the bulk of the “disagreement” boils down to “bad for different people” and “bad in different ways”.
At least some of the disagreement shrinks when you clarify “greatest risk” :
Is it a problem for rich first-worlders (dysgenics, maybe), poor first-worlders (immigration), poor third-worlders (global warming, pollution)?
Is it a likely but “mild” problem (dysgenics, sexual immorality, growing inequality), or an unlikely/uncertain but catastrophic problem (AI, grey goo) ?
There’s probably still a lot of actual disagreement about facts left (for example, how likely is AI, whether God punishes/rewards us), but I think the bulk of the “disagreement” boils down to “bad for different people” and “bad in different ways”.