I listened to your podcasts as I generally do (they are great ;-) ),
Correct me if I am wrong, but neither Greg Cochran nor Robin Hanson gave you anything like “there is a >1% probability UFOs are aliens”.
Thanks. Hanson, as best I recall, gave the 1/1000 Bayesian prior of aliens visiting us.
I listened to your podcasts as I generally do (they are great ;-) ),
Correct me if I am wrong, but neither Greg Cochran nor Robin Hanson gave you anything like “there is a >1% probability UFOs are aliens”.
Thanks. Hanson, as best I recall, gave the 1/1000 Bayesian prior of aliens visiting us.