My priors on a group like Leverage Research actually discovering something true and important by doing “basic research” in psychology are very low; I don’t expect “put a bunch of smart people in a room and have them talk to each other” to produce something more connected to reality than Freudian psychoanalysis or Dianetics. After all, “id-ego-superego” really isn’t a terrible model of a person, and studies have trouble telling if one kind of therapy is better than another. So you’ll get something that kind of makes sense and may even seem to work but isn’t necessarily related to truth in any meaningful way.
Is there anything I should know that might cause me to update my beliefs?
My priors on a group like Leverage Research actually discovering something true and important by doing “basic research” in psychology are very low; I don’t expect “put a bunch of smart people in a room and have them talk to each other” to produce something more connected to reality than Freudian psychoanalysis or Dianetics. After all, “id-ego-superego” really isn’t a terrible model of a person, and studies have trouble telling if one kind of therapy is better than another. So you’ll get something that kind of makes sense and may even seem to work but isn’t necessarily related to truth in any meaningful way.
Is there anything I should know that might cause me to update my beliefs?