FWIW, I have an underlying intuition here that’s something like “if you’re going to go Dark Arts, then go big or go home”, but I don’t really know how to operationalize that in detail and am generally confused and sad. In general, I think people who have things like “logical connectives are relevant to the content of the text” threaded through enough of their mindset tend to fall into a trap analogous to the “Average Familiarity” xkcd or to Hofstadter’s Law when they try truly-mass communication unless they’re willing to wrench things around in what are often very painful ways to them, and (per the analogies) that this happens even when they’re specifically trying to correct for it.
I disagree with the first sentence, but agree strongly with the rest of it. My whole point is that it may be literally possible to make:
mass-audience arguments
about extinction risk from AI
that don’t involve lying.
Maybe we mean different things by “Dark Arts” here? I don’t actually consider (going hard with messaging like) “This issue is complicated, but you [the audience member] understandably don’t want to deal with it, so we should go harder on preventing risk for now based on the everyday risk-avoidance you probably practice yourself.” as lying or manipulation. You could call it Dark Arts if you drew the “Dark Arts” cluster really wide, but I would disagree with that cluster-drawing.
I disagree with the first sentence, but agree strongly with the rest of it. My whole point is that it may be literally possible to make:
mass-audience arguments
about extinction risk from AI
that don’t involve lying.
Maybe we mean different things by “Dark Arts” here? I don’t actually consider (going hard with messaging like) “This issue is complicated, but you [the audience member] understandably don’t want to deal with it, so we should go harder on preventing risk for now based on the everyday risk-avoidance you probably practice yourself.” as lying or manipulation. You could call it Dark Arts if you drew the “Dark Arts” cluster really wide, but I would disagree with that cluster-drawing.