If Omega makes the decision by analyzing the agent’s psychological tests taken in childhood, then the agent should two-box.
Sorry, could you explain this in more detail?
Humans are time-inconsistent decision makers. Why would Omega choose to fill the boxes according to a certain point in configuration space rather than some average measure? Most of your life you would have two-boxed after all. Therefore if Omega was to predict whether you (space-time-worm) will take both boxes or not, when it meets you at an arbitrary point in configuration space, it might predict that you are going to two-box if you are not going to life for much longer in which time-period you are going to consistently choose to one-box.
ETA It doesn’t really matter when a superintelligence will meet you. What matters is for how long a period you adopted which decision procedure, respectively were susceptible to what kind of exploitation. If you only changed your mind about a decision procedure for .01% of your life it might still worth to act on that acausally.
Humans are time-inconsistent decision makers. Why would Omega choose to fill the boxes according to a certain point in configuration space rather than some average measure? Most of your life you would have two-boxed after all. Therefore if Omega was to predict whether you (space-time-worm) will take both boxes or not, when it meets you at an arbitrary point in configuration space, it might predict that you are going to two-box if you are not going to life for much longer in which time-period you are going to consistently choose to one-box.
ETA It doesn’t really matter when a superintelligence will meet you. What matters is for how long a period you adopted which decision procedure, respectively were susceptible to what kind of exploitation. If you only changed your mind about a decision procedure for .01% of your life it might still worth to act on that acausally.