E.g. I can’t ask an LLM to go found a new company, give it some seed capital and an email account, and expect it to succeed.
In general, would you expect a human to succeed under those conditions? I wouldn’t, but then most of the humans I associate with on a regular basis aren’t entrepreneurs.
There’s a different claim, “we will sooner or later have AIs that can think and act at least 1-2 orders of magnitude faster than a human”. I see that claim as probably true, although I obviously can’t prove it.
Without bounding what tasks we want the computer perform faster than the person, one could argue that we’ve met that criterion for decades. Definitely a matter of “most people” and “most computers” for both, but there’s a lot of math that a majority of humans can’t do quickly or can’t do at all, whereas it’s trivial for most computers.
It is indeed tricky to measure this stuff.
In general, would you expect a human to succeed under those conditions? I wouldn’t, but then most of the humans I associate with on a regular basis aren’t entrepreneurs.
Without bounding what tasks we want the computer perform faster than the person, one could argue that we’ve met that criterion for decades. Definitely a matter of “most people” and “most computers” for both, but there’s a lot of math that a majority of humans can’t do quickly or can’t do at all, whereas it’s trivial for most computers.