“An exception is made for jobs that fail to reach their employment due to some clearly identifiable non-software-related shock or change in trends, such as an economic crisis or a war. Such jobs will be removed from the list before computing the fraction.”
But macroeconomic or geopolitical events such as major recession or war are likely to affect all job categories. So the correct way to deal with this is not to remove such jobs but to adjust the fraction by the change in overall employment.
An exception is made if there is a non-AI related factor that causes a widespread long-term change in the economic trajectories, e.g. a war. In that case I will attempt to adjust for this factor by changing the resolution criterion, e.g. by counter from the projected employment after the event happened.
An exception is made for jobs that fail to reach their employment due to some clearly identifiable non-software-related shock or change in trends, such as a job-specific crisis or change (e.g. if motor vehicles get banned for safety or pollution reasons). Such jobs will be removed from the list before computing the fraction.
“An exception is made for jobs that fail to reach their employment due to some clearly identifiable non-software-related shock or change in trends, such as an economic crisis or a war. Such jobs will be removed from the list before computing the fraction.”
But macroeconomic or geopolitical events such as major recession or war are likely to affect all job categories. So the correct way to deal with this is not to remove such jobs but to adjust the fraction by the change in overall employment.
Changed it to:
True, I will look into changing this criterion.