We’ll have to wait years for leaks though, and if it didn’t happen then we’ll be waiting for those leaks for an awful long time, so it might be easier to falsify my model from the engineering angle e.g. spaghetti towers or the tech company/intelligence agency competence angle.
I’d caution against thinking that’s easy though, I predict that >66% of tech company employees are clueless about the true business model of their company (it’s better to have smaller teams of smarter, well-paid, conformist/nihilistic engineers due to Snowden risk, even if larger numbers of psychologists are best for correlation labelling). Most employees work on uncontroversial parts like AI capabilities or the pipeline of encrypted data.
I’ve also encountered political consultants who basically started out assuming it’s not possible because they themselves don’t have access to the kind of data I’m talking about here, but that’s an easy problem to fix with just a conversation or two.
Yes, if these capabilities weren’t deployed in the US during the Ukraine war, that falsifies a rather large chunk of my model (most of the stuff about government and military involvement). It wouldn’t falsify everything (e.g. maybe the military cares way more about using these capabilities for macroeconomic stabilization to prevent economic collapses larger than 2008, maybe they consider that a lose condition for the US and public opinion is just an afterthought).
We’ll have to wait years for leaks though, and if it didn’t happen then we’ll be waiting for those leaks for an awful long time, so it might be easier to falsify my model from the engineering angle e.g. spaghetti towers or the tech company/intelligence agency competence angle.
I’d caution against thinking that’s easy though, I predict that >66% of tech company employees are clueless about the true business model of their company (it’s better to have smaller teams of smarter, well-paid, conformist/nihilistic engineers due to Snowden risk, even if larger numbers of psychologists are best for correlation labelling). Most employees work on uncontroversial parts like AI capabilities or the pipeline of encrypted data.
I’ve also encountered political consultants who basically started out assuming it’s not possible because they themselves don’t have access to the kind of data I’m talking about here, but that’s an easy problem to fix with just a conversation or two.