“The process that lead to an awakening” refers not to one physical process, but potentially to multiple partly-overlapping physical processes per actual physical experiment.
You mean to run the physical experiment around 666 times, resulting in 1000 awakeningns in total—around 667 on Monday, and around 333 on Tuesday? Rather obviously that doesn’t support your maths either.
I have yet to find a sum that gives 500:250:250 as originally claimed. There is no 250 involved. Your supplied “probability tree” image is just nonsense—a wrong analysis of the problem, irrespective of what bet you think the question corresponds to.
I don’t know what you mean by “experiment”.
“The process that lead to an awakening” refers not to one physical process, but potentially to multiple partly-overlapping physical processes per actual physical experiment.
You mean to run the physical experiment around 666 times, resulting in 1000 awakeningns in total—around 667 on Monday, and around 333 on Tuesday? Rather obviously that doesn’t support your maths either.
I have yet to find a sum that gives 500:250:250 as originally claimed. There is no 250 involved. Your supplied “probability tree” image is just nonsense—a wrong analysis of the problem, irrespective of what bet you think the question corresponds to.