Aha. In that case, I’d say it’s analogous, but I might just be granting that since the correct answer there is 1⁄3 as well. Or are there folks that would answer 1⁄2 to this scenario?
Yes, the answer is 1⁄3, because I am more likely to be asked if it was tails. But in the original problem, I am not more likely to be asked, I am just asked more often, so there is no analogy.
Aha. In that case, I’d say it’s analogous, but I might just be granting that since the correct answer there is 1⁄3 as well. Or are there folks that would answer 1⁄2 to this scenario?
Yes, the answer is 1⁄3, because I am more likely to be asked if it was tails. But in the original problem, I am not more likely to be asked, I am just asked more often, so there is no analogy.