The OP is correct. There are actually all the same issues here as with the Self Indication Assumption; it is wrong for the same reasons as the 1⁄3 probability. I predict that a great majority of those who accept SIA will also favor the probability of 1⁄3.
The OP is correct. There are actually all the same issues here as with the Self Indication Assumption; it is wrong for the same reasons as the 1⁄3 probability. I predict that a great majority of those who accept SIA will also favor the probability of 1⁄3.