This topic is interesting because perception of Moore’s law varies a lot depending on whether you’re looking at production or R&D. In terms of R&D, manufacturers are already testing the limits of silicon (and so of course Moore’s law is already a dead law walking) - the 2028 timeline is just how long people expect it to take to roll out what we already have.
And by “roll out,” of course I mean “switch over to the entirely new designs and manufacturing techniques required to do anything useful with higher-precision lithography,” because everything is way more complicated than it was 20 years ago.
This topic is interesting because perception of Moore’s law varies a lot depending on whether you’re looking at production or R&D. In terms of R&D, manufacturers are already testing the limits of silicon (and so of course Moore’s law is already a dead law walking) - the 2028 timeline is just how long people expect it to take to roll out what we already have.
And by “roll out,” of course I mean “switch over to the entirely new designs and manufacturing techniques required to do anything useful with higher-precision lithography,” because everything is way more complicated than it was 20 years ago.