how to use causal graphical models to study why ordinary people have the beliefs they do, and how to intervene to make them be less wrong.
Note to self—a good reason to listen carefully to people’s reasons for their beliefs, even/especially when they are nonsensical. They may have structure that can be exploited.
How probable is that someone knows their internal belief structure? How probable is that someone who knows their internal belief structure tells you that truthfully instead of using a self-serving lie?
Note to self—a good reason to listen carefully to people’s reasons for their beliefs, even/especially when they are nonsensical. They may have structure that can be exploited.
How probable is that someone knows their internal belief structure? How probable is that someone who knows their internal belief structure tells you that truthfully instead of using a self-serving lie?