A couple of additional points to leggi:
Elizabeth calculates roughly 25% of people are in essential roles. These people are less able to reduce numbers of contacts.
At least initially many people don’t take social distancing seriously so the effects are likely to ramp up over time.
In that case it makes sense that initially doubling times increase over 5 and over time they keep increasing.
In China the distance was enforced and Koreans took it seriously right away so it didn’t take long for their doubling times to increase.
A couple of additional points to leggi:
Elizabeth calculates roughly 25% of people are in essential roles. These people are less able to reduce numbers of contacts.
At least initially many people don’t take social distancing seriously so the effects are likely to ramp up over time.
In that case it makes sense that initially doubling times increase over 5 and over time they keep increasing.
In China the distance was enforced and Koreans took it seriously right away so it didn’t take long for their doubling times to increase.