I must admit, this sounds odd—I wouldn’t have predicted this result—but not inexplicable—I would predict that someone with the right incentive could fake this. As such, I still believe cold fusion isn’t real, but I have updated my confidence in the relevant model downwards.
However, I will say one thing—if this works, someone should be making money off it. I don’t care if it wont replicate; if it works consistently for you then you can use it to build a profitable business, which seems like it should make skeptics think again as well as producing profit.
Just don’t ask anyone to invest in Cold Fusion, for God’s sake. Start small.
However, I will say one thing—if this works, someone should be making money off it. I don’t care if it wont replicate; if it works consistently for you then you can use it to build a profitable business, which seems like it should make skeptics think again as well as producing profit.
I do agree with this line of reasoning to a certain extent, but it isn’t necessarily true. One could imagine a scenario where the experiment was reproducible enough to be convincing (say, it works 75% of the time), but wasn’t reproducible enough to be commercially viable (which might require 99% reliability or something). Alternatively, someone could be getting consistent excess heat at a level too low to be of use to anyone.
I must admit, this sounds odd—I wouldn’t have predicted this result—but not inexplicable—I would predict that someone with the right incentive could fake this. As such, I still believe cold fusion isn’t real, but I have updated my confidence in the relevant model downwards.
However, I will say one thing—if this works, someone should be making money off it. I don’t care if it wont replicate; if it works consistently for you then you can use it to build a profitable business, which seems like it should make skeptics think again as well as producing profit.
Just don’t ask anyone to invest in Cold Fusion, for God’s sake. Start small.
I do agree with this line of reasoning to a certain extent, but it isn’t necessarily true. One could imagine a scenario where the experiment was reproducible enough to be convincing (say, it works 75% of the time), but wasn’t reproducible enough to be commercially viable (which might require 99% reliability or something). Alternatively, someone could be getting consistent excess heat at a level too low to be of use to anyone.
See also knb’s argument in this thread.