A priori, an average of 6 is in the realm of possibility if it’s a total fertility rate. Two decades ago the highest national-level European TFR was in Kosovo, where Albanian women had a TFR around 6.5. So Muscovite Tatar women having a TFR of 6 nowadays could be just about possible.
I have a hard time, though, believing that Muscovite Chechen & Ingush women are breaking double digits; that’d be off the national charts. One miiiiight be able to bend over backwards to explain that away as a Moscow-and-ethnicity-specific anomaly, but I’m not sure how.
I poked around a bit to try uncovering more data on Tatar women in Moscow, but couldn’t find anything quickly on Google Scholar which had Moscow-specific TFRs by ethnicity. One paper does use 1989 census data to find that in Russia as a whole, ethnic Russian & Tatar women aged 50-54 averaged 1.88 & 2.65 “children ever born” respectively. 2.65 is a lot lower than 6, so either (1) Moscow Tatars are astoundingly prolific compared to Tatars elsewhere in Russia; (2) Russian Tatar women have most of their babies post-menopause; (3) Russian Tatar women, reversing their earlier demographic transition, have more than doubled their TFR in the last 25 years; or (4) “In Moscow, Tatar women have six children [...] on average” is BS. A blog post with blunter but more recent data is suggestive of (4).
On average? Sorry, this is obvious bullshit. Or someone doesn’t know what “average” means.
Its only slightly higher than the quiverfull people, so I’d say its only a little implausible, rather than total bullshit.
A priori, an average of 6 is in the realm of possibility if it’s a total fertility rate. Two decades ago the highest national-level European TFR was in Kosovo, where Albanian women had a TFR around 6.5. So Muscovite Tatar women having a TFR of 6 nowadays could be just about possible.
I have a hard time, though, believing that Muscovite Chechen & Ingush women are breaking double digits; that’d be off the national charts. One miiiiight be able to bend over backwards to explain that away as a Moscow-and-ethnicity-specific anomaly, but I’m not sure how.
I poked around a bit to try uncovering more data on Tatar women in Moscow, but couldn’t find anything quickly on Google Scholar which had Moscow-specific TFRs by ethnicity. One paper does use 1989 census data to find that in Russia as a whole, ethnic Russian & Tatar women aged 50-54 averaged 1.88 & 2.65 “children ever born” respectively. 2.65 is a lot lower than 6, so either (1) Moscow Tatars are astoundingly prolific compared to Tatars elsewhere in Russia; (2) Russian Tatar women have most of their babies post-menopause; (3) Russian Tatar women, reversing their earlier demographic transition, have more than doubled their TFR in the last 25 years; or (4) “In Moscow, Tatar women have six children [...] on average” is BS. A blog post with blunter but more recent data is suggestive of (4).
Quiverfull people self-select into having lots of children. Women of a particular ethnic background do not.