Thanks for taking the time to dive into this. I’ve spent the past few evenings iterating on a forecasting bot while doing embarrassingly little research myself[1], and it seems like I have stumbled into the same approach as Five Thirty Nine, and my bot has the exact same sort of problems. I’ll write more later about why I think some of those problems are not as big as they may seem.
But your article also gave me some ideas that might lead to improvements. Thanks!
[1]: In this case, I prioritise the two weeks in the lab over the hour in the library. I’m doing it not to make a good forecasting bot but to learn the APIs involved.
Thanks for taking the time to dive into this. I’ve spent the past few evenings iterating on a forecasting bot while doing embarrassingly little research myself[1], and it seems like I have stumbled into the same approach as Five Thirty Nine, and my bot has the exact same sort of problems. I’ll write more later about why I think some of those problems are not as big as they may seem.
But your article also gave me some ideas that might lead to improvements. Thanks!
[1]: In this case, I prioritise the two weeks in the lab over the hour in the library. I’m doing it not to make a good forecasting bot but to learn the APIs involved.