Most people are uninformed about politics and economics, and do not go much beyond “blaming the government (and by extension the policies associated with it) when stuff goes badly, and credit it when it goes well”.
This has been historically validated, at least to the extent of a significant swing of a few percent (which is usually enough to tip an election if it happens nationally).
This has been historically validated, at least to the extent of a significant swing of a few percent (which is usually enough to tip an election if it happens nationally).