Roko comments on A Back-Of-The-Envelope Calculation On How Unlikely The Circumstantial Evidence Around Covid-19 Is

Roko 8 Feb 2024 0:02 UTC
2 points
0
e.g. this bet

https://longbets.org/9/

also contributes to the idea that the prior cannot be that small since Rees bet on it in 2017.