You are far more knowledgeable than me and a lot better at expressing possible problems with an intelligence explosion.
Since the very beginning I wondered why nobody has written down what speaks against that possibility. Which is one of the reasons for why I even bothered to start arguing against it myself—the trigger has been a deletion of a certain post which made me realize that there is a lot more to it (socially and psychologically) than the average research project—even though I knew very well that I don’t have the necessary background, nor patience, to do so in a precise and elaborated manner.
Do people think that a skeptical inquiry of, and counterarguments against an intelligence explosion are not valuable?
You are far more knowledgeable than me and a lot better at expressing possible problems with an intelligence explosion.
I don’t know about that. The primary issue I’ve talked about limiting an intelligence explosion is computational complexity issues. That’s a necessarily technical area. Moreover, almost all the major boundaries are conjectural. If P=NP in a practical way, than an intelligence explosion may be quite easy. There’s also a major danger that in thinking/arguing that this is relevant, I may be engaging in motivated cognition in that there’s an obvious bias to thinking that things close to one’s own field are somehow relevant.
You are far more knowledgeable than me and a lot better at expressing possible problems with an intelligence explosion.
Since the very beginning I wondered why nobody has written down what speaks against that possibility. Which is one of the reasons for why I even bothered to start arguing against it myself—the trigger has been a deletion of a certain post which made me realize that there is a lot more to it (socially and psychologically) than the average research project—even though I knew very well that I don’t have the necessary background, nor patience, to do so in a precise and elaborated manner.
Do people think that a skeptical inquiry of, and counterarguments against an intelligence explosion are not valuable?
I don’t know about that. The primary issue I’ve talked about limiting an intelligence explosion is computational complexity issues. That’s a necessarily technical area. Moreover, almost all the major boundaries are conjectural. If P=NP in a practical way, than an intelligence explosion may be quite easy. There’s also a major danger that in thinking/arguing that this is relevant, I may be engaging in motivated cognition in that there’s an obvious bias to thinking that things close to one’s own field are somehow relevant.