Huh. When you say this, all of a sudden I wonder about the mechanisms and possibilities of “bad Kosher rules” in interesting ways!
I do know that kosher rules are generally intended to ensure food quality. They are a 3000 year old FDA regulatory equivalent.
Like my starting position is “FDA boo!” but also my starting position with low key Kosher stuff is that it “probably doesn’t hurt that much and might help and so… sure… why not… maybe yay?”
The rest of this comment is me doing a sort of “public debugging” of my intuitions on these two topics, side by side… engaging in a sort of meta-systematic comparison of two possible regulatory regimes.
...
For my “intuitive FDA boo” feeling… I’m pretty sure that a core problem that kept the US from copying New Zealand’s early covid success was that we couldn’t do the FDA/CDC/OSHA/etc paperwork to allow covid testing to be deployed with airports and long distance travelers fast enough, widely enough.
There are many many wetlabs in the US. We could have recruited them into various testing processes in an early ad hoc way. Many countries DID solve this logistical challenge.
It was NOT a material poverty that hurt us, but rather it was a poverty within our politico-economic sphere, where we seem to LACK the collective agentic capacity to enable people to helpfully redeploy existing resources to address existing new problems.
The FDA is the central bureaucracy which caused this slowness as a core aspect of its essential functions.
So, to “a first approximation” (simplifying some) I blame “covid being endemic in the US” on the FDA’s inability to quickly communicate (to those it governed) that for a while its entire gestalt approach to medical regulation was stupid and bad…
...thus some basic/easy medical innovations could not be rolled out quickly enough… thus slow medical innovation (which normally only kills lots of people) killed a REALLY lot of people this time.
In my model here, “the FDA’s existence” independently made early covid zero impossible (compared to a counter-factual world where there was no such legal barrier to rolling swiftly rolling out mass covid testing in late 2019 and early 2020).
So the FDA can be said to have “caused covid in the US”, which then “caused the death of something like a million Americans”.
(Also maybe hundreds of millions have lost 1-8 IQ points, and then maybe there’s been some lung damage and so on, but “a million dead” is a round number that puts things like 9/11 and terrorism and school shootings and various wars onto a reasonably objective scale of badness… and shows that many other things were objectively not as bad as covid and thus not as bad as the FDA.)
Given this perspective, I wonder if there were food emergencies that killed a lots and lots of people in the deep past because people under the boot of evil rabbis couldn’t get a pass on the “Kosher food checking system” when turning off the Kosher food checking system would have actually made contextual sense and saved many lives?
If so: “boo Kosher rules!” (I guess? Right? Because if something causes bad results, it is bad.)
But I don’t know of Kosher rules having such problems. Maybe I just haven’t studied Kosher rules enough to realize how many many people they’ve killed? Maybe I’m just ignorant? But for now I still don’t particularly think of “Kosher rules” as having caused such problems.
...
Maybe it would be useful to look at differences in the core workings of the regulatory mechanisms?
One thought: it seems likely that in 800 AD there were Kosher rules like now, but probably people could just opt-out of following Kosher rules any time they wanted, like in a famine? Maybe? (Note: this “opt-in” setup is indirect but strong evidence that the persistent following of the rules is essentially safe for various reasons.)
Presumably the priests don’t and didn’t try to assess a fine for eating in a non-Kosher way or selling non-Kosher food, and if you ignored the fine they don’t and didn’t lock you in a cage? And if you resisted going in the cage they didn’t murder you?
So a core difference here is maybe: with the Kosher stuff, the priests who are experts at figuring out what is Kosher and what is not Kosher are generating an opt-in source of seemingly benevolent expertise about food safety, as a public good, that people can listen to or not, voluntarily.
With the FDA, if you try to ignore their bad advice forcefully enough, they try to murder you and burn your books and so on directly (instead of just “murdering you indirectly”, by threatening doctors into not doing medical innovation and so on).
I think this “opt-in” (or at least toleration for opting-out) is a core part of the difference in my feelings.
I don’t think it is just “food vs medicine”? Like… I can think of a place that puts people in jail for doing food wrong (with no opt-out) and the lack of an opt-out for that seems to kill people even faster than the FDA kills people (perhaps because food is more important to get right than medicine): Venezuela.
...
Or maybe another difference here is that “medical innovation” is itself a factor?
Like: reasonable humans currently have a strong desire for medical innovation to get better than it is “now”.
By contrast, Kosher laws are basically static, and food innovation is generally not urgently needed?
Illustration: It isn’t like every current human will starve to death of hunger if we don’t somehow invent a cure for hunger with some totally new food that doesn’t exist yet, and which Kosher laws are preventing the invention of.
Whereas: future medicine might “cure death” (or raise life expectancy a lot or whatever), and present medicine definitely can’t do this yet.
This asymmetry in the importance and need for innovation might be another reason why the FDA is very bad, but Kosher food advice is probably not that bad.
...
One interesting thing is that I didn’t change my mind much about either Kosher rules or the FDA, and I also have a hunch that reading these musings would not change anyone’s mind if they didn’t basically already agree with me in the first place.
Maybe I’m somehow “not doing it right” with this whole process of forming accurate beliefs and plans that convince others based on the soundness of my reasoning, the truth of the relevant observable facts, and normal instrumentally convergent preferences for obviously good things (like life, health, low cost, speed, efficiency, fairness, freedom, etc) over obviously bad things (like death, sickness, expenses, slowness, waste, unfairness, slavery, etc)?
But I don’t see an obvious place where I’m misapplying some key principle or making a clear mistake :-/
Huh. When you say this, all of a sudden I wonder about the mechanisms and possibilities of “bad Kosher rules” in interesting ways!
Like my starting position is “FDA boo!” but also my starting position with low key Kosher stuff is that it “probably doesn’t hurt that much and might help and so… sure… why not… maybe yay?”
The rest of this comment is me doing a sort of “public debugging” of my intuitions on these two topics, side by side… engaging in a sort of meta-systematic comparison of two possible regulatory regimes.
...
For my “intuitive FDA boo” feeling… I’m pretty sure that a core problem that kept the US from copying New Zealand’s early covid success was that we couldn’t do the FDA/CDC/OSHA/etc paperwork to allow covid testing to be deployed with airports and long distance travelers fast enough, widely enough.
There are many many wetlabs in the US. We could have recruited them into various testing processes in an early ad hoc way. Many countries DID solve this logistical challenge.
It was NOT a material poverty that hurt us, but rather it was a poverty within our politico-economic sphere, where we seem to LACK the collective agentic capacity to enable people to helpfully redeploy existing resources to address existing new problems.
The FDA is the central bureaucracy which caused this slowness as a core aspect of its essential functions.
So, to “a first approximation” (simplifying some) I blame “covid being endemic in the US” on the FDA’s inability to quickly communicate (to those it governed) that for a while its entire gestalt approach to medical regulation was stupid and bad…
...thus some basic/easy medical innovations could not be rolled out quickly enough… thus slow medical innovation (which normally only kills lots of people) killed a REALLY lot of people this time.
In my model here, “the FDA’s existence” independently made early covid zero impossible (compared to a counter-factual world where there was no such legal barrier to rolling swiftly rolling out mass covid testing in late 2019 and early 2020).
So the FDA can be said to have “caused covid in the US”, which then “caused the death of something like a million Americans”.
(Also maybe hundreds of millions have lost 1-8 IQ points, and then maybe there’s been some lung damage and so on, but “a million dead” is a round number that puts things like 9/11 and terrorism and school shootings and various wars onto a reasonably objective scale of badness… and shows that many other things were objectively not as bad as covid and thus not as bad as the FDA.)
Given this perspective, I wonder if there were food emergencies that killed a lots and lots of people in the deep past because people under the boot of evil rabbis couldn’t get a pass on the “Kosher food checking system” when turning off the Kosher food checking system would have actually made contextual sense and saved many lives?
If so: “boo Kosher rules!” (I guess? Right? Because if something causes bad results, it is bad.)
But I don’t know of Kosher rules having such problems. Maybe I just haven’t studied Kosher rules enough to realize how many many people they’ve killed? Maybe I’m just ignorant? But for now I still don’t particularly think of “Kosher rules” as having caused such problems.
...
Maybe it would be useful to look at differences in the core workings of the regulatory mechanisms?
One thought: it seems likely that in 800 AD there were Kosher rules like now, but probably people could just opt-out of following Kosher rules any time they wanted, like in a famine? Maybe? (Note: this “opt-in” setup is indirect but strong evidence that the persistent following of the rules is essentially safe for various reasons.)
Presumably the priests don’t and didn’t try to assess a fine for eating in a non-Kosher way or selling non-Kosher food, and if you ignored the fine they don’t and didn’t lock you in a cage? And if you resisted going in the cage they didn’t murder you?
So a core difference here is maybe: with the Kosher stuff, the priests who are experts at figuring out what is Kosher and what is not Kosher are generating an opt-in source of seemingly benevolent expertise about food safety, as a public good, that people can listen to or not, voluntarily.
With the FDA, if you try to ignore their bad advice forcefully enough, they try to murder you and burn your books and so on directly (instead of just “murdering you indirectly”, by threatening doctors into not doing medical innovation and so on).
I think this “opt-in” (or at least toleration for opting-out) is a core part of the difference in my feelings.
I don’t think it is just “food vs medicine”? Like… I can think of a place that puts people in jail for doing food wrong (with no opt-out) and the lack of an opt-out for that seems to kill people even faster than the FDA kills people (perhaps because food is more important to get right than medicine): Venezuela.
...
Or maybe another difference here is that “medical innovation” is itself a factor?
Like: reasonable humans currently have a strong desire for medical innovation to get better than it is “now”.
By contrast, Kosher laws are basically static, and food innovation is generally not urgently needed?
Illustration: It isn’t like every current human will starve to death of hunger if we don’t somehow invent a cure for hunger with some totally new food that doesn’t exist yet, and which Kosher laws are preventing the invention of.
Whereas: future medicine might “cure death” (or raise life expectancy a lot or whatever), and present medicine definitely can’t do this yet.
So every incremental slowness in the scientific advance of medicine “causes” the death of people in the medium future who might have been saved from involuntary death if medical innovation had been faster.
This asymmetry in the importance and need for innovation might be another reason why the FDA is very bad, but Kosher food advice is probably not that bad.
...
One interesting thing is that I didn’t change my mind much about either Kosher rules or the FDA, and I also have a hunch that reading these musings would not change anyone’s mind if they didn’t basically already agree with me in the first place.
Maybe I’m somehow “not doing it right” with this whole process of forming accurate beliefs and plans that convince others based on the soundness of my reasoning, the truth of the relevant observable facts, and normal instrumentally convergent preferences for obviously good things (like life, health, low cost, speed, efficiency, fairness, freedom, etc) over obviously bad things (like death, sickness, expenses, slowness, waste, unfairness, slavery, etc)?
But I don’t see an obvious place where I’m misapplying some key principle or making a clear mistake :-/