That’s because cryonics salesmen are generally amateur rationalists who are actually trying to believe rationally and report their beliefs honestly.
I am more inclined to believe that they are a self-selected group—drawn from the section of the population with the most optimistic estimates of whether cryonics will work. Usually, “most optimistic” != “most realistic”.
No contradiction between the two posts above. The second is, nonetheless, probably more useful in judging accuracy.
That’s because cryonics salesmen are generally amateur rationalists who are actually trying to believe rationally and report their beliefs honestly.
I am more inclined to believe that they are a self-selected group—drawn from the section of the population with the most optimistic estimates of whether cryonics will work. Usually, “most optimistic” != “most realistic”.
No contradiction between the two posts above. The second is, nonetheless, probably more useful in judging accuracy.