Thanks for pointing that out. Now I understand the problem.
However, I still think that the mistake made by the agent is the implicit assumption the he is the only one influencing the outcome.
Since all of the copies assume that they solely decide the outcome, they overestimate the reward after the anthropic update (each of the copies claim the whole reward for his decision, although the decision is collective and each vote is necessary).
By the way, please don’t delete a comment if you change your mind or realize an error; it makes the conversation difficult for others to read. You can always put in an edit (and mark it as such) if you want.
I’d only delete one of my comments if I felt that its presence actually harmed readers, and that there was no disclaimer I could add that would prevent that harm.
The copies in red rooms don’t get to vote in this setup.
Thanks for pointing that out. Now I understand the problem.
However, I still think that the mistake made by the agent is the implicit assumption the he is the only one influencing the outcome.
Since all of the copies assume that they solely decide the outcome, they overestimate the reward after the anthropic update (each of the copies claim the whole reward for his decision, although the decision is collective and each vote is necessary).
By the way, please don’t delete a comment if you change your mind or realize an error; it makes the conversation difficult for others to read. You can always put in an edit (and mark it as such) if you want.
I’d only delete one of my comments if I felt that its presence actually harmed readers, and that there was no disclaimer I could add that would prevent that harm.
OK, sorry. (In this special case, I remember thinking that your remark was perfectly understandable even without the context.)