Where did you do your calibration training? On prediction book I think most people would put 0% in the box for Zoltan getting elected in the next election.
I’ve used prediction book rarely, I mostly use the calibration game and the updating game.
What do you mean with “updating game”?
http://rationality.org/apps/
The page lists the calibration game with a link but lists no link for the updating game. Is the updating game something that CFAR uses internally?
http://www.patheos.com/blogs/unequallyyoked/2012/07/play-along-with-rationality-camp-at-home.html has a link
edit: https://groups.google.com/forum/#!topic/lesswrongslc/DuWDe_km88w has more links. They seem to be malformed by google, but manually fixing them works.
Mac: https://dl.dropbox.com/u/30954211/RationalityGames/UpdatingGame%28Mac%29.app.zip Android: https://dl.dropbox.com/u/30954211/RationalityGames/UpdatingGame%28And%29.apk
I actually can’t recall how I got the updating game… I believe it’s on the android store somewhere, but really hard to find.
Where did you do your calibration training? On prediction book I think most people would put 0% in the box for Zoltan getting elected in the next election.
I’ve used prediction book rarely, I mostly use the calibration game and the updating game.
What do you mean with “updating game”?
http://rationality.org/apps/
The page lists the calibration game with a link but lists no link for the updating game. Is the updating game something that CFAR uses internally?
http://www.patheos.com/blogs/unequallyyoked/2012/07/play-along-with-rationality-camp-at-home.html has a link
edit: https://groups.google.com/forum/#!topic/lesswrongslc/DuWDe_km88w has more links. They seem to be malformed by google, but manually fixing them works.
Mac: https://dl.dropbox.com/u/30954211/RationalityGames/UpdatingGame%28Mac%29.app.zip Android: https://dl.dropbox.com/u/30954211/RationalityGames/UpdatingGame%28And%29.apk
I actually can’t recall how I got the updating game… I believe it’s on the android store somewhere, but really hard to find.