I agree that the Can we get more than this? part is likely not to work because others are running simulations too about AIs who have these kind of decision theory. (In the post, I allude to the AI itself running ancestor sims of itself, but I agree others could run it too.) Still, I give a negligible chance that we are the most salient simulators for this AI, so we are the first one it enters into a trade with. But I agree that on a second thought, this seems less likely.
I agree that the Can we get more than this? part is likely not to work because others are running simulations too about AIs who have these kind of decision theory. (In the post, I allude to the AI itself running ancestor sims of itself, but I agree others could run it too.) Still, I give a negligible chance that we are the most salient simulators for this AI, so we are the first one it enters into a trade with. But I agree that on a second thought, this seems less likely.