Kids go back to school in the fall with no Covid restrictions more onerous than a vaccine mandate: 60%
Indoor dining and other adult activities (bars, events, etc.) have no Covid rules by September 1: 90%
Edit note: above predictions are for the United States, and apply to “the vast majority of people.” To put a post-hoc number on it, at least 85% of people will have the above state, though there might be a few locations that hold out.
Or there is a new development / federal guidance doesn’t change and 60%+ of people are still under restrictions—which would be the 40% side of the prediction.
Do you mean these to apply at the level of the federal government? At the level of that + a majority of states? Majority of states weighted by population? All states?
Kids go back to school in the fall with no Covid restrictions more onerous than a vaccine mandate: 60%
Indoor dining and other adult activities (bars, events, etc.) have no Covid rules by September 1: 90%
Edit note: above predictions are for the United States, and apply to “the vast majority of people.” To put a post-hoc number on it, at least 85% of people will have the above state, though there might be a few locations that hold out. Or there is a new development / federal guidance doesn’t change and 60%+ of people are still under restrictions—which would be the 40% side of the prediction.
Do you mean these to apply at the level of the federal government? At the level of that + a majority of states? Majority of states weighted by population? All states?