Most communication questions will have different options depending on audience. Who are you communicating to, and how high-bandwidth is the discussion (lots of questions and back-and-forth with one or two people is VERY different from, say, posting on a public forum).
For your examples, it seems you’re looking for one-shot outbound communication, to a relatively wide and mostly educated audience. I personally don’t find the ambiguity in your examples particularly harmful, and any of them are probably acceptable.
If anyone complains or it bugs you, I’d EITHER go with
an end-note that all percentages are chance-to-win
a VERY short descriptor like (43% win) or even (43%W).
reduce the text rather than the quantifier—“Kamala is 54% to win” without having to say that means “slight favorite”.
Most communication questions will have different options depending on audience. Who are you communicating to, and how high-bandwidth is the discussion (lots of questions and back-and-forth with one or two people is VERY different from, say, posting on a public forum).
For your examples, it seems you’re looking for one-shot outbound communication, to a relatively wide and mostly educated audience. I personally don’t find the ambiguity in your examples particularly harmful, and any of them are probably acceptable.
If anyone complains or it bugs you, I’d EITHER go with
an end-note that all percentages are chance-to-win
a VERY short descriptor like (43% win) or even (43%W).
reduce the text rather than the quantifier—“Kamala is 54% to win” without having to say that means “slight favorite”.