You should definitely check out the causality section of Highly Advanced Epistemology 101 for Beginners and possibly Judea Pearl’s book Causality, which contain a more up-to-date discussion and address many of your concerns much better than I could.
Just a heads up, in case Ilya considers it indelicate to mention this himself: He’s an expert in this area, and definitely familiar with Judea Pearl’s work (Pearl was his Ph.D. supervisor).
Just a heads up, in case Ilya considers it indelicate to mention this himself: He’s an expert in this area, and definitely familiar with Judea Pearl’s work (Pearl was his Ph.D. supervisor).
Really? I’m impressed. I guess he assumed that I was unfamiliar with it (not an unreasonable assumption).