Worries about AI misalignment: the world will believe that AI alignment is hard, and so avoid deploying it until doing a lot of work to be confident in alignment.
Regulation: it takes time to comply with regulations
If that’s right, I broadly agree with all of these points :)
(I previously thought you were saying something very different with (2), since the text in the OP seems pretty different.)
I previously thought you were saying something very different with (2), since the text in the OP seems pretty different.
FWIW I don’t think you’re getting things wrong here. I also have simply changed some of my views in the meantime.
That said, I think what I was trying to accomplish with (2) was not that alignment would be hard per se, but that it would be hard to get an AI to do very high-skill tasks in general, which included aligning the model, since otherwise it’s not really “doing the task” (though as I said, I don’t currently stand by what I wrote in the OP, as-is).
My summary of your argument now would be:
Deployment lag: it takes time to deploy stuff
Worries about AI misalignment: the world will believe that AI alignment is hard, and so avoid deploying it until doing a lot of work to be confident in alignment.
Regulation: it takes time to comply with regulations
If that’s right, I broadly agree with all of these points :)
(I previously thought you were saying something very different with (2), since the text in the OP seems pretty different.)
FWIW I don’t think you’re getting things wrong here. I also have simply changed some of my views in the meantime.
That said, I think what I was trying to accomplish with (2) was not that alignment would be hard per se, but that it would be hard to get an AI to do very high-skill tasks in general, which included aligning the model, since otherwise it’s not really “doing the task” (though as I said, I don’t currently stand by what I wrote in the OP, as-is).