Seriously, Microsoft? People could find I eschew porn to instead listen to songs that remix in or mashup sounds from porn while going about my daily activities.
2. Can your genes exempt you from an altruistic imperative to donate your organs?
Do our SNP’s indicate any exceptions to the duty to donate one’s organs? rs17319721(A)’s and Rs429… are associated with kidney related issues. It doesn’t appear any others are known to. The implications are unclear.
What would you do in his situation? How does me manage to get to cartel to do his bidding when he’s on the run when they could usurp him instead? I assume that other high up Sinoloa cartel people just appreciate his intelligence in planning their operations. And, that incidental helpers opportunistically solicit his favour, bribes and fear his influence without actively making them because of his reputation. Maybe there are some interesting mechanisms in there too, like people he’s earmarked as having to die if he is ever caught, or doesn’t escape by a certain time, or dies*, like a kind of prediction market. I would imagine such criminals have sophisticated prediction market-esque trustless systems to protect them. I mean, I wouldn’t otherwise count on the loyalty or trustworthiness of other criminals...I mean, it would be a lot harder to replicate his actions in more Western countries because of greater structural integrity of social institutions and norms, but I can’t help but be in awe of the guy’s intelligence and ruthless pursuit of his ends and means.
4. Interesting takeaways from Tim Ferriss’s productivity interview of a former four star US special forces and joint coalition forces general
High peer ratings have the highest predictive validity for top-level military leadership appointments and advancement
After ww2 they asked combat organisations what was most useful from their training and people said: distance running and pack marches (explained as: because it pushed them) and live fire exercises (he adds, dealing with uncertainty too but that wasn’t found from the ww2 survey). I noted that this was said around 48 mins 40 seconds in.
watch 3 people—someone senior who you admire, a peer who is doing what you are doing better than you and someone junior who is doing the job you were doing better than you did
5. My sister is such c-word
I wish there were psychologist/therapist gift vouchers for frenemies or people you have to stay in contact with for a long time due to work or familial obligation...
6. Karma pattern analysis
a graph of my karma: Increasingly volatility and controversiality (high scores and low scores). Seems to be alternating clusters of high and low karma. Is that attributable to global variation in sentiment of lesswrong voters or to temporal variation in the karma attractiveness of my posts?
7. Why is psychiatry so weird?
What accounts for the discrepancy between reports of suffering by the mentally and neurologically ill, and the sympathy afforded to them? Do estimates for disability or quality of life by mental health patients systematically deviate from observer or physiologically revealed estimates? How about addicts or pain patients?
Smoking and schizphrenia confounded by weight control beliefs? If so sz without antipsychotic would smoke less
8. How am I supposed to follow the law if I don’t know what the law is?
9. How’s democratic information asymmetry working out?
Not too bad.
Ballot papers present a handful of names, a handful of labels and voting process ensues. Why aren’t there more random incompetents elected to public office? This is not to say that they aren’t there, but this system of appearingly intense information asymmetry seems to work out okay.
To be an independent candidate requires lots of voters to nominate you and therefore substantive mass (even if minority(appeal), to be a party candidate requires winning an internal preselection election (by people who tend to vote for people they have existing, long standing elections with) and to win council generally requires a racially appropriate name for the area’s demographic who are like to know you.
This screening process may separate the wheat from the chaff early-on.
10. A movie about an internet drug dealer from da hood gives a lesson in enthusiastic consent
“I’m bored as fuck, how about we play? Lets play mother may I. Do you remember how to play that?… May I take off my clothes?… May I walk over to you?… May I touch you?”
-Female character from Dope (2016 the movie)
I’ve omitted the guys response since they were more or less ‘yes’.
What great, playful elicitation of enthusiastic consent without an awkward, forward question!
11. Fallacy charlatans
Brendan Moynihan, who the author of the Black Swan said wasn’t a charlattan unlike most finance book authors, summarises market participation fallacies as internalising what should be external events here onwards. His thesis perplexis me. It’s doesn’t seem wrong, it seems wronger than wronger, but his case seems very compelling. I smell some darks arts. I wonder if the Black Swan author spoke too soon...
12. 80K for LMIC’s
I wrote a haiku:
Teaching to earn
To earn to give
80,000 Hours 2020
Bridging 80,000 Hours with developing world education will kill 3 birds with one stone: earning to give, developing world education and the problem of bridging between schooling and economic opportunity.
13. EA unicode symbol?
How about ‘æ’?
14. Is pedo advocacy an undervalued, neglected social cause?
My heart continues to bleed for virtuous pedophiles and the ostracisation that probably encourages surrepticious, unhealthy sexual and romantic relationships between adults and children. I hope more people will pledge public support for groups trying to fight to treat pedos like people. There seem to be advocacy organisations that are above board and I wouldn’t be suprised if an increasingly sex positive future society crowns pedo advocates of today with the glory affored to early LGBTI campaigners. Maybe they’ll call them LGBTIP one day. I feel ashamed that I should have to disclaim that I am not at all attracted to children (and barely have a sex drive nowadays in general) in order to give extra credibility to this post. I’m also ashamed that when I’m in IRL company I’m given to joining in the group emotion and condemning pedos when the topic comes up, but at least I’m willing to talk about it more uh ‘rationally’ here.
15. Siblings of low-functioning autistics can have a lot of carer responsibilities. Do they deserve the baggage of carrier stigma too?
Based on the Wikipedia article on the heritability of autism I have concluded that if you’re dating someone who has a sibling that is autistic, other than caring for their sibling you should consider having kids early if you intend to, not having kids if the mother has a psychiatric illness but otherwise no worrying too much about passing on the autism. The rate of autism in the general population is 1.47 percent. Prevalence of autism in siblings of autistic children was found to be 1.76% in 2005 Danish study looked at “data from the Danish Psychiatric Central Register and the Danish Civil Registration System.
The risk was twice as high if the mother had been diagnosed with a psychiatric disorder. The study also found that “the risk of autism was associated with increasing degree of urbanisation of the child’s place of birth and with increasing paternal, but not maternal, age.
However, less authoritative (yahoo answers) sources suggests that the specific etyiology of the autism may affect the chance of inheritence. Allegedly if the autistic family carries fragile X then the chance of inheritence is like 10 percent plus or something. They recommended talking to a genetic counsellor so I reckon the best steps are to do that, or do more thorough research than I’ve done here about where autism has occured in your mate’s family!
I wonder if something like “what clarity writes” (about//quality) is variable monthly, maybe inline with any medications or other monthly things—example regular social events with lw’ers or similar groups who encourage you to maybe hone your ideas so there is less bad and more good in a given week.
No other top level comment by Clarity will be made in this Open Thread will be made because a considerable portion of LW voters don’t give a shit
I am much happier about this comment than seeing several on an OT. I wouldn’t mind seeing 2 a week in this format if it helps you think. Worth adding that you have numbered, titled, bulleted pointed, linked and self-explained your process which I expect adds to your karma score.
with 2, it’s hard to respond—especially not knowing the area very well.
1, 3, 4, 5, 7 all seem like comments (or rhetorical with 7) not questions or really asking for response. If you do the same thing next week and get the same sort of response to some of your posts, you might be able to improve your content by filtering for (“things Clarity wants feedback on” | “thing clarity just wants to share”) and dividing into two sections (in one comment is fine).
I wish there were psychologist/therapist gift vouchers for frenemies or people you have to stay in contact with for a long time due to work or familial obligation...
Sure, it’s called The Fountainhead, and it’s for you. (That is, your obligation to maintain contact with your family is entirely voluntary.)
But more helpfully there are lots of therapy / self-help books that are full of useful skills that you can sometimes improve a relationship by giving to the other person. This is typically recommended against because a very important variable in the success of interventions is ‘therapeutic alliance’—if someone isn’t interested in a book, they won’t read it, and if someone doesn’t want to work with a therapist, they’ll sabotage the experience.
It is worth focusing on how you can adjust your behaviors around the difficult people in your life, and this is something that you might want to bring up with a therapist / get books to look into yourself. (When I was dating someone who was anxious, I read self-help books on anxiety, for example.)
Is that attributable to global variation in sentiment of lesswrong voters or to temporal variation in the karma attrativeness of my posts?
Pretty sure it’s the latter, but in a moving average sort of way—a bad comment not only is likely to be downvoted itself, but also makes it more likely that other comments posted at around the same time are viewed as bad.
My heart continues to bleed for virtuous pedophiles …. Maybe they’ll call them LGBTIP one day.
“virtuous pedophiles” who do not act on their desires are to be praised, but should not be lumped in with LBGT, because the LBGT movement advocates that people should act on their desires rather than trying to be straight, which is the exact opposite of “virtuous pedophiles”.
The worry is that support for virtuous pedophiles is a slippery slope towards support for practicing pedophiles.
Re: number 6. My impression is that the “karma attractiveness” of your posts is pretty variable. I’ll give it some more thought and see if I can nail down any specific reasons for that impression.
Re: number 5. If you’d like to commiserate about unpleasant family members, let me know. :P I have them in spades.
Because he asked what he could do to improve the reception of his comments, and was told that a major problem was that he spread random ideas across dozens of comments, cluttering threads up, and then proceeded to follow that advice. (Or, in more Less-Wrongian terms, he updated his beliefs, or something.)
People are showing their appreciation for the fact that he listened. Doing so is a great positive reinforcement of community norms, and makes users happy to follow the norms as they get rewarded for doing so, as opposed to the opposing strategy of downvoting deviations from the norm, which might result in resentment, as they would experience only punishment.
Clarity’s bitching and moaning containment comment
No other top level comment by Clarity will be made in this Open Thread will be made because a considerable portion of LW voters don’t give a shit
1. Windows 7 phones are problematic
-Windows 7 phone search history can’t be deleted...
Seriously, Microsoft? People could find I eschew porn to instead listen to songs that remix in or mashup sounds from porn while going about my daily activities.
2. Can your genes exempt you from an altruistic imperative to donate your organs?
Do our SNP’s indicate any exceptions to the duty to donate one’s organs? rs17319721(A)’s and Rs429… are associated with kidney related issues. It doesn’t appear any others are known to. The implications are unclear.
3. El Chapo’s getting desperate.
What would you do in his situation? How does me manage to get to cartel to do his bidding when he’s on the run when they could usurp him instead? I assume that other high up Sinoloa cartel people just appreciate his intelligence in planning their operations. And, that incidental helpers opportunistically solicit his favour, bribes and fear his influence without actively making them because of his reputation. Maybe there are some interesting mechanisms in there too, like people he’s earmarked as having to die if he is ever caught, or doesn’t escape by a certain time, or dies*, like a kind of prediction market. I would imagine such criminals have sophisticated prediction market-esque trustless systems to protect them. I mean, I wouldn’t otherwise count on the loyalty or trustworthiness of other criminals...I mean, it would be a lot harder to replicate his actions in more Western countries because of greater structural integrity of social institutions and norms, but I can’t help but be in awe of the guy’s intelligence and ruthless pursuit of his ends and means.
4. Interesting takeaways from Tim Ferriss’s productivity interview of a former four star US special forces and joint coalition forces general
High peer ratings have the highest predictive validity for top-level military leadership appointments and advancement
After ww2 they asked combat organisations what was most useful from their training and people said: distance running and pack marches (explained as: because it pushed them) and live fire exercises (he adds, dealing with uncertainty too but that wasn’t found from the ww2 survey). I noted that this was said around 48 mins 40 seconds in.
watch 3 people—someone senior who you admire, a peer who is doing what you are doing better than you and someone junior who is doing the job you were doing better than you did
5. My sister is such c-word
I wish there were psychologist/therapist gift vouchers for frenemies or people you have to stay in contact with for a long time due to work or familial obligation...
6. Karma pattern analysis
a graph of my karma: Increasingly volatility and controversiality (high scores and low scores). Seems to be alternating clusters of high and low karma. Is that attributable to global variation in sentiment of lesswrong voters or to temporal variation in the karma attractiveness of my posts?
7. Why is psychiatry so weird?
What accounts for the discrepancy between reports of suffering by the mentally and neurologically ill, and the sympathy afforded to them? Do estimates for disability or quality of life by mental health patients systematically deviate from observer or physiologically revealed estimates? How about addicts or pain patients?
Smoking and schizphrenia confounded by weight control beliefs? If so sz without antipsychotic would smoke less
8. How am I supposed to follow the law if I don’t know what the law is?
The AI control problem is a principal-agent problem, just like theattorney problem. Thoughts on radically simplifying the law to re-emphasise personal responsibility, promote leadership against paralysis and law anxiety?
9. How’s democratic information asymmetry working out?
Not too bad.
Ballot papers present a handful of names, a handful of labels and voting process ensues. Why aren’t there more random incompetents elected to public office? This is not to say that they aren’t there, but this system of appearingly intense information asymmetry seems to work out okay.
To be an independent candidate requires lots of voters to nominate you and therefore substantive mass (even if minority(appeal), to be a party candidate requires winning an internal preselection election (by people who tend to vote for people they have existing, long standing elections with) and to win council generally requires a racially appropriate name for the area’s demographic who are like to know you.
This screening process may separate the wheat from the chaff early-on.
10. A movie about an internet drug dealer from da hood gives a lesson in enthusiastic consent
-Female character from Dope (2016 the movie)
I’ve omitted the guys response since they were more or less ‘yes’.
What great, playful elicitation of enthusiastic consent without an awkward, forward question!
11. Fallacy charlatans
Brendan Moynihan, who the author of the Black Swan said wasn’t a charlattan unlike most finance book authors, summarises market participation fallacies as internalising what should be external events here onwards. His thesis perplexis me. It’s doesn’t seem wrong, it seems wronger than wronger, but his case seems very compelling. I smell some darks arts. I wonder if the Black Swan author spoke too soon...
12. 80K for LMIC’s
I wrote a haiku:
Teaching to earn
To earn to give
80,000 Hours 2020
Bridging 80,000 Hours with developing world education will kill 3 birds with one stone: earning to give, developing world education and the problem of bridging between schooling and economic opportunity.
13. EA unicode symbol?
How about ‘æ’?
14. Is pedo advocacy an undervalued, neglected social cause?
My heart continues to bleed for virtuous pedophiles and the ostracisation that probably encourages surrepticious, unhealthy sexual and romantic relationships between adults and children. I hope more people will pledge public support for groups trying to fight to treat pedos like people. There seem to be advocacy organisations that are above board and I wouldn’t be suprised if an increasingly sex positive future society crowns pedo advocates of today with the glory affored to early LGBTI campaigners. Maybe they’ll call them LGBTIP one day. I feel ashamed that I should have to disclaim that I am not at all attracted to children (and barely have a sex drive nowadays in general) in order to give extra credibility to this post. I’m also ashamed that when I’m in IRL company I’m given to joining in the group emotion and condemning pedos when the topic comes up, but at least I’m willing to talk about it more uh ‘rationally’ here.
15. Siblings of low-functioning autistics can have a lot of carer responsibilities. Do they deserve the baggage of carrier stigma too?
Based on the Wikipedia article on the heritability of autism I have concluded that if you’re dating someone who has a sibling that is autistic, other than caring for their sibling you should consider having kids early if you intend to, not having kids if the mother has a psychiatric illness but otherwise no worrying too much about passing on the autism. The rate of autism in the general population is 1.47 percent. Prevalence of autism in siblings of autistic children was found to be 1.76% in 2005 Danish study looked at “data from the Danish Psychiatric Central Register and the Danish Civil Registration System.
However, less authoritative (yahoo answers) sources suggests that the specific etyiology of the autism may affect the chance of inheritence. Allegedly if the autistic family carries fragile X then the chance of inheritence is like 10 percent plus or something. They recommended talking to a genetic counsellor so I reckon the best steps are to do that, or do more thorough research than I’ve done here about where autism has occured in your mate’s family!
I wonder if something like “what clarity writes” (about//quality) is variable monthly, maybe inline with any medications or other monthly things—example regular social events with lw’ers or similar groups who encourage you to maybe hone your ideas so there is less bad and more good in a given week.
I am much happier about this comment than seeing several on an OT. I wouldn’t mind seeing 2 a week in this format if it helps you think. Worth adding that you have numbered, titled, bulleted pointed, linked and self-explained your process which I expect adds to your karma score.
with 2, it’s hard to respond—especially not knowing the area very well.
1, 3, 4, 5, 7 all seem like comments (or rhetorical with 7) not questions or really asking for response. If you do the same thing next week and get the same sort of response to some of your posts, you might be able to improve your content by filtering for (“things Clarity wants feedback on” | “thing clarity just wants to share”) and dividing into two sections (in one comment is fine).
Upvoted for being one comment.
Sure, it’s called The Fountainhead, and it’s for you. (That is, your obligation to maintain contact with your family is entirely voluntary.)
But more helpfully there are lots of therapy / self-help books that are full of useful skills that you can sometimes improve a relationship by giving to the other person. This is typically recommended against because a very important variable in the success of interventions is ‘therapeutic alliance’—if someone isn’t interested in a book, they won’t read it, and if someone doesn’t want to work with a therapist, they’ll sabotage the experience.
It is worth focusing on how you can adjust your behaviors around the difficult people in your life, and this is something that you might want to bring up with a therapist / get books to look into yourself. (When I was dating someone who was anxious, I read self-help books on anxiety, for example.)
Pretty sure it’s the latter, but in a moving average sort of way—a bad comment not only is likely to be downvoted itself, but also makes it more likely that other comments posted at around the same time are viewed as bad.
“virtuous pedophiles” who do not act on their desires are to be praised, but should not be lumped in with LBGT, because the LBGT movement advocates that people should act on their desires rather than trying to be straight, which is the exact opposite of “virtuous pedophiles”.
The worry is that support for virtuous pedophiles is a slippery slope towards support for practicing pedophiles.
Re: number 6. My impression is that the “karma attractiveness” of your posts is pretty variable. I’ll give it some more thought and see if I can nail down any specific reasons for that impression.
Re: number 5. If you’d like to commiserate about unpleasant family members, let me know. :P I have them in spades.
Based on the relative karmic outpouring, it seems people like this format more than single comments. Why?
Because he asked what he could do to improve the reception of his comments, and was told that a major problem was that he spread random ideas across dozens of comments, cluttering threads up, and then proceeded to follow that advice. (Or, in more Less-Wrongian terms, he updated his beliefs, or something.)
People are showing their appreciation for the fact that he listened. Doing so is a great positive reinforcement of community norms, and makes users happy to follow the norms as they get rewarded for doing so, as opposed to the opposing strategy of downvoting deviations from the norm, which might result in resentment, as they would experience only punishment.
Sinoloa creates trust through family ties.