I agree that it has certain philosophical issues, but I don’t believe that this is as fatal to counting arguments as you believe.
Towards the end I write:
“The problem is that we are making an assumption, but rather than owning it, we’re trying to deny that we’re making any assumption at all, ie. “I’m not assuming a priori A and B have equal probability based on my subjective judgement, I’m using the principle of indifference”. Roll to disbelieve.
I feel less confident in my post than when I wrote it, but it still feels more credible than the position articulated in this post.
Otherwise: this was an interesting post. Well done on identifying some arguments that I need to digest.
I wrote up my views on the principle of indifference here:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3PXBK2an9dcRoNoid/on-having-no-clue
I agree that it has certain philosophical issues, but I don’t believe that this is as fatal to counting arguments as you believe.
Towards the end I write:
“The problem is that we are making an assumption, but rather than owning it, we’re trying to deny that we’re making any assumption at all, ie. “I’m not assuming a priori A and B have equal probability based on my subjective judgement, I’m using the principle of indifference”. Roll to disbelieve.
I feel less confident in my post than when I wrote it, but it still feels more credible than the position articulated in this post.
Otherwise: this was an interesting post. Well done on identifying some arguments that I need to digest.