Well that would work for a predictor that 100% predicts your most likely strategy. If the predictor has even a slight chance of predicting the 49% strategy instead of the 51% strategy, you’ll lose out as you’re risking a million to gain a thousand. But yes, the discussion in my post assumes that the predictor can predict any sources of randomness that you have access to.
Well that would work for a predictor that 100% predicts your most likely strategy. If the predictor has even a slight chance of predicting the 49% strategy instead of the 51% strategy, you’ll lose out as you’re risking a million to gain a thousand. But yes, the discussion in my post assumes that the predictor can predict any sources of randomness that you have access to.