I see a some cases of Delta on the 2nd graph of the Public Health Ontario page, but much less than 99% (e.g., 7 Delta to 205 No Mutation for week of October 6). Likewise, the Toronto dashboard has mostly delta in the VOC graph since July (it’s a bit hard to see without excluding the Alpha counts from earlier which are much higher and make the y-axis too big).
Lineage B.1.617.2 (Delta) includes cases identified by genomic analysis. Mutations common to B.1.617.2 are not included in the current VOC mutation test.
Which I interpret to mean they’re just not testing most cases for “Delta-ness”. Since non-Delta variants are just about zero, 99% Delta seems like a good guess.
This is the system that is planning to finally [replace their fax machines by the end of 2021](https://www.cbc.ca/news/science/ontario-fax-machines-1.5955753) (which means they’ll probably get that done around 2025), so I’d say expecting up-to-date VOC tests is being too optimistic.
I’m very confused what the situation with Delta in Ontario is right now. Looking at covariants.org for Canada as well as other countries, Delta seems to be ~99% market share. But going to Public Health Ontario and the City of Toronto’s dashboards both show no Delta.
I’m inclined to think Something Is Wrong with the dashboard.
I see a some cases of Delta on the 2nd graph of the Public Health Ontario page, but much less than 99% (e.g., 7 Delta to 205 No Mutation for week of October 6). Likewise, the Toronto dashboard has mostly delta in the VOC graph since July (it’s a bit hard to see without excluding the Alpha counts from earlier which are much higher and make the y-axis too big).
https://www.publichealthontario.ca/-/media/data-files/covid-19-data-tool-technical-notes.pdf?la=en says:
Which I interpret to mean they’re just not testing most cases for “Delta-ness”. Since non-Delta variants are just about zero, 99% Delta seems like a good guess.
Is this incompetence? Book-cookery? Something else?
This is the system that is planning to finally [replace their fax machines by the end of 2021](https://www.cbc.ca/news/science/ontario-fax-machines-1.5955753) (which means they’ll probably get that done around 2025), so I’d say expecting up-to-date VOC tests is being too optimistic.